ICRLL

Do you think it's possible a question could come up in a format for the second advantage of ICRLL - adjusting one Table M to make it for another Table M on LOB with less data? If so, what adjustments would that make to the ICRLL example?

Comments

  • It's possible but probably unlikely in our opinion. In the situation you describe the state/hazard group factor would account for most of the differences between lines of business and then the thin data would introduce more variation in the losses so a higher insurance charge would be needed. So instead of shifting to a higher adjusted expected loss, the ICRLL would shift to a lower expected loss to pick up the additional volatility.

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